Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.001884 0.002000 0.002119 0.002253 0.002397 0.002549 0.002721
2025-04-20 0.001656 0.001812 0.001980 0.002174 0.002394 0.002636 0.002924
2025-04-27 0.001555 0.001742 0.001950 0.002199 0.002490 0.002823 0.003235
2025-05-04 0.001494 0.001707 0.001949 0.002248 0.002609 0.003035 0.003581
2025-05-11 0.001455 0.001692 0.001967 0.002315 0.002747 0.003273 0.003969
2025-05-18 0.001400 0.001651 0.001950 0.002335 0.002825 0.003436 0.004270
2025-05-25 0.001321 0.001577 0.001886 0.002290 0.002816 0.003486 0.004423
2025-06-01 0.001262 0.001522 0.001842 0.002267 0.002830 0.003563 0.004614
2025-06-08 0.001226 0.001495 0.001830 0.002284 0.002895 0.003708 0.004904
2025-06-15 0.001177 0.001449 0.001791 0.002261 0.002905 0.003778 0.005089
2025-06-22 0.001135 0.001409 0.001758 0.002245 0.002922 0.003855 0.005289
2025-06-29 0.001095 0.001370 0.001725 0.002225 0.002931 0.003921 0.005472
2025-07-06 0.001045 0.001320 0.001677 0.002188 0.002921 0.003970 0.005650
2025-07-13 0.000983 0.001250 0.001601 0.002108 0.002847 0.003920 0.005673
2025-07-20 0.000961 0.001234 0.001597 0.002131 0.002921 0.004093 0.006062
2025-07-27 0.000950 0.001231 0.001611 0.002178 0.003033 0.004332 0.006576
2025-08-03 0.000944 0.001236 0.001636 0.002242 0.003175 0.004625 0.007206
2025-08-10 0.000925 0.001221 0.001631 0.002261 0.003247 0.004810 0.007668
2025-08-17 0.000889 0.001180 0.001587 0.002218 0.003219 0.004830 0.007834
2025-08-24 0.000860 0.001150 0.001557 0.002196 0.003222 0.004901 0.008098
2025-08-31 0.000844 0.001137 0.001552 0.002212 0.003287 0.005079 0.008578
2025-09-07 0.000819 0.001109 0.001524 0.002190 0.003289 0.005148 0.008853
2025-09-14 0.000797 0.001085 0.001501 0.002175 0.003300 0.005234 0.009167